Is STARLINK-2291 about to reenter?

NORAD 47862 · no longer in a trackable orbit

STARLINK-2291 (NORAD 47862) no longer appears in a trackable orbit in the live catalogue — it looks to have already reentered. If that's a surprise, its final orbital elements may simply have aged out; check the sources below.

Live altitude & decay trend

STARLINK-2291 no longer propagates to a real orbit, so there is no current altitude to show. Objects drop off the live catalogue once they reenter or their orbital elements grow too stale to track. See the current queue on the satellite reentries hub.

How honest is this window?

Be warned: reentry timing is genuinely hard to pin down. Cosmik uses a drag-threshold heuristic — current altitude plus the last 24 hours of decay — not a precise reentry-window solution. Atmospheric density swings with solar activity, so the real window can move by hours or days, and a satellite's exact reentry point isn't known until its final orbits. Treat the window as "something is coming down soon," not a countdown to a place and minute. For the current best estimate delivered automatically, use reentry alerts.

What survives reentry?

Almost nothing, usually. At ~28,000 km/h the atmosphere heats an object until it breaks apart and burns — often visible from the ground as a bright, slow fireball. Only large or dense components (fuel tanks, dense alloys) sometimes reach the surface, and they nearly always fall over ocean or empty land. Read what happens when satellites fall for the full picture, and see how much space debris is in orbit for the bigger context.

Where will it come down?

This satellite circles Earth roughly every 90 minutes, so its ground track covers a wide band of latitudes rather than a single spot. Because the exact reentry time is uncertain, the ground location is too — an hour of timing error moves the point most of the way around the planet. You can watch STARLINK-2291's current ground track and orbit on the live 3D map.

Track STARLINK-2291's final orbits

STARLINK-2291 is no longer trackable, but you can watch the current reentry candidates on the live satellite tracker and turn on reentry alerts for the next one.

Frequently asked questions

Is STARLINK-2291 about to reenter?

STARLINK-2291 (NORAD 47862) no longer appears in a trackable orbit and looks to have already reentered.

What altitude is STARLINK-2291 at?

As of September 2026, STARLINK-2291 is at roughly 0 km, computed by propagating its latest CelesTrak/NORAD orbital elements (TLE) with SGP4. Altitude on this page refreshes as fresh tracking data arrives.

Will STARLINK-2291 hit the ground?

Almost certainly not. The overwhelming majority of satellites and rocket bodies burn up completely on reentry, sometimes as a bright, slow fireball. Only large or dense objects leave fragments that reach the surface, and the odds of debris reaching any given person are vanishingly small.

How can I track STARLINK-2291's reentry?

Watch it move on Cosmik's live 3D satellite tracker, and turn on free reentry alerts to get a push or email when it's predicted to fall. Cosmik updates the prediction as new tracking data comes in.